This did not start recently. Been working with robots since
graduating college in 1978. Computers since 1970 (more or less). Artificial
intelligence goes back to mythology, and really started with Dartmouth College in
the Summer of 1956 (My birth year). Autopilots were invented and demonstrated in
1914 by Lawrence Sperry. This saved wear and tear on pilots enabling longer
flights. Also freed up pilots for more important tasks like navigation or
bombing. Modern autopilots handle all phases of flight including taxi, takeoff,
climb, cruise, descent, approach, and landing. Next step will be cargo planes
without human intervention.
What is happening now is different technologies are reaching a level of maturity that will
change the world. Software programing has better analyzing and self learning.
Sensors are more effective, have more range and cost less. Battery life
improved as weight went down. Our cell phones are mini computers. The future
will be mobile.
Automation with artificial intelligence will replace most
repetitive, difficult or dangerous work. Ships will not need pilots or crews
for weeks on the oceans. Deliveries will not need truck drivers. Taxis, Uber
& Lyft will not need drivers. Electric vehicles do not need all the
maintenance of gas & diesel motors. Mechanics, Miners and Farmers will not
be put at risk of injury or death to work.
But this will go further. Bookkeepers will not be needed to
support accountants with artificial intelligence. Taxes will be calculated
automatically. Pharmacist technicians will not count pills or type labels. Like
the secretaries of old, these positions will fade away. Estimates are 20% to 40% of current blue & white
collar jobs will go away.
Like the last new
ages brought challenges. Moving to cities was uncomfortable for many from
family farms. New skills had to be learned. Familiar places were missed. We
adjusted to change. When computers came into the office, more skills were
learned as responsibilities changed.
What will be
different this time is the speed of the
change is faster. Technologies are accelerating and new skills are
replacing old ones.
How to have job security? Keep learning and being
productive. Take more responsibility.
Automation and computers are not as good as with people skills. They can better
maintain an algorithm for repetition. Creativity, sales and innovation are not
strengths of Artificial Intelligence. Those require people. No reason it can’t
be you.
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