Predictions are the hardest thing to do. Nothing makes us
look more foolish than looking at old predictions. Especially my own. Heck no
one even gets the NCAA brackets right.
The past is an indication. No one knew how much airplanes
would become the major way of travel shortly after the Wright Brothers showed
the world how to control flight. Wilbur and Orville would be amazed at the
number of people traveling all over the world in comfort compared to when they laid down on
their wing risking their lives.
Going to the Moon was accomplished in less than 10 years,
although rockets were used as weapons in World War 2. Who would believe that
much progress could be made that fast from a commitment in 1962 and competition?
Who would have thought the Arpanet would grow up to be
today’s engine of commerce now know as the Internet? How about all the apps
developed for your handheld computer-phone? Closest prediction to cell phones was the Dick Tracy wrist radio.
So let’s dive off the deep end and look at the future
technologies.
The self-driving car is a given based on all the development
and investment. What is overlooked is the technology is being better developed
for air travel. Autopilots were first demonstrated in 1914 by Sperry. Modern
planes could fly without pilots very soon. Artificial intelligence is beginning
to take off to new levels in the next decade or two.
Self-driving trucks will be commonplace in a few years with
a robot to unload them at each stop. People may not have thought of are simple
chores like mowing the lawns, trimming shrubs and weeding will be automated in
the next decade or two. Look at the robot vacuums. Why will people stock
shelves when robots can do it easier. People will be saved for interacting with
customers. Physical work will be passé, and I could do without weeding.
Next how about space travel. Go from London to New York or
St Petersburg in an hour or two by traveling above the atmosphere. Vacation and
gamble on the Moon and orbiting hotels. Take a once in a lifetime trip to Mars.
Airplanes, automobiles, drones will still be with us, but travel is much
faster.
Shipping cargo will be done through transporters. Star Trek
transporters will handle cargo, although they may be too dangerous for living
organisms. No idea when transporters will be developed. Additive manufacturing
machines to manufacture where needed all over the world, but we will need a
more efficient way to ship through space.
Television and holograms in helmets will be replaced by
images generated in our brains. Why have hardware when you can see and feel by
playing in our brains? The Internet will have been replaced by 3 to 5 new
generations of connectivity. This will allow humans to connect brains in small
to large groups for desired purposes.
Medicine will have gone from curing illnesses to prevention.
Aging will be history once your body has reach maturity. Dying your hair will
be replaced by natural and unnatural color growing from your scalp. Worn out
cartilage will grow in our joints. New diseases will pop up only to be cured in
days. Life will be longer and more productive.
Crimes and accidents will be anticipated and prevented.
Weapons will have gone from physical to light, sound and energy. Lasers are
close to deployment on naval ships and not much longer for other platforms. Sound weapons are being experimented with. What other forms of energy weapons are next?
With hard labor automated, there will be an explosion of
learning, philosophy, art, stories and music. Look at the Italian renaissance
when slaves freed up the owners time. Time was put to good use.
Unfortunately there will still be governments, power
grabs and challenges for every generation. But mixing of people all over the
world will reduce war and crime. Look at how low crime rates have gotten in
most western societies. Better understanding of people will prevent more people
from becoming criminals, and prevent suffering from mental illnesses. Most
societies will be peaceful.
There will be other unexpected improvements. No one can see
around corners enough to know all the future. You probably have ideas I missed.
What are they?
Will we get there smoothly? No. History is full of
technology jumps, technologies used for warfare, people fighting change, lost
generations to war, and societies stepping back. History shows humans
developing major technologies which benefit mankind. That trend will always continue.
No comments:
Post a Comment