June 10, 2017

Simple Solutions Don’t Work

Tax the Rich - Connecticut and Maryland both found out this does not work.

Connecticut has raised income tax rates on wealthiest residence last 2 years. Net tax revenues have not increased. Tax revenue from the state's top 100 highest-paying taxpayers declined 45 percent from 2015 to 2016. The drop is a $200 million revenue loss for CT.

Maryland "millionaire's tax" pushed through by Gov. Martin O'Malley in 2007 imposed a rate of 6.25 percent on incomes of more than $1 million a year. ~300 richest residents would pay. The following year only ~200 high incomes had to pay. Result was a net loss of tax revenue.

What is happening?
First assumption is no one will adjust to higher taxes. Business owners and CFOs will find alternative methods to reduce taxes. If Capital Gains are lower, pay me in stock options instead of salary.

Second false assumption these wealthy people will make as much money every year. The wealthy are not the same every year. You only sell businesses and real estate every decade or two. Other years you earn much less.

Third wealthy people are mobile. They can move to another county, state or country. Record numbers of people have given up their US Citizenship in last 5 years. Some of these are people from other countries who built a business here, sold it and are moving for lower taxes on their windfall.

The other reason Taxing the Rich does not work, the wealthy don’t earn enough. John Stossel reports if the IRS took 100% of all incomes over $1 Million, the 2012 total would be around $616 Billion. The US Government had a 2016 deficit of $593 Billion and borrowed additional $830 Billion totaling $1.417 Trillion. About 40% of this year’s deficit.

John Stossel points out no one works to earn nothing, so those incomes would evaporate, resulting in No tax revenue to reduce the deficit.

People, businesses and corporations earn wealth. The government taxes and spends wealth for military, entitlements and programs. The government has to control spending.

The Biggest Risk to our Economy is Debt - personal, business and government. Next biggest risk is government regulations and spending.

Based on the slow growth of the economy over the last decade, your Entitlements will be Lowered and Taxes Raised by our governments.

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