April 2, 2016

Evaluating 5 Presidential Candidates and Their Campaigns


More than likely you will disagree with my analysis. Its okay, I’m not sure where I stand on casting my vote. You probably have a better reason than I do. Never seen such a wide open election.

Hillary
Probably will be a good president for the most part. Keep things going forward a little, but not rock the boat.
My late mom who was one of the first 3 women to go to her engineering college would be so proud of Hillary. She has tremendous experience, political insider, has good support from her party and core party voters.
Hillary is inevitable. Until she is not. Seriously question her judgment and honesty. Remember the reset with Russia? Benghazi? Her government run health plan? The people she promoted under Bill’s presidency?
Question one will other candidates get the swing voter support? Second the FBI investigation on the email server could still blow this election.

Bernie
Never expected the enthusiasm and the success of Bernie’s Campaign. He is running a true socialist campaign promising to end social injustice and free college education. His message resonates with the young, disaffected, deep in debt, and voters dissatisfied with the current state of government and Wall Street. True breathe of fresh air and bringing in new voters and small donations.
Bernie big challenge is Democratic Party insiders have all the Super Delegate votes. Not only does Bernie have to beat Hillary, he has to convert a substantial number of insiders. Then he has to gather moderate voters to the left.
An outside change at best, but momentum is going for Bernie.

Donald
Between Bernie and Donald there are more voters for outsiders. Donald is the true outsider no one gave a chance to. Now he is leading delegate votes and shaking up the Grand Old Party. His boisterous campaign to say what people think has broken rules, energized voters and will change future campaigns. Marketing genius. Donald is fighting for the right to represent us and bring enthusiasm from the disappointed.
Donald would be an interesting president. Wealthy enough not to beholden to others, Donald can choose what is right for America’s citizens. Foreign countries would be afraid what he might do and not sure where the reaction would be crossing us. Frankly Donald does not have everything planned out, is not an ideologue, and he does not know what he would do in every political wonk situation. This gives Donald a good negotiating position. Donald’s biggest liability is shooting from the hip.
His campaign and opinion has struggled this week. But Donald has a history of people saying it will never happen, then Donald gets to work. 6 month later a deal is reached. Second the men and women who work for him respect him. Heard one of his first women managers point out he is respectful and likes strong women.
The Donald is more complicated and deeper than his campaign appears. Stay tuned, too early to write off.

Ted
Conservative Ideologue in the race. What Bernie is to the left Ted is to the Tea Party and conservative movement on the right. Ted’s opinions are spoken clearly and he has the debating skills of a great lawyer. Where other candidates were expected to lead Ted has become the surviving battler for the Republican nomination.
Ted’s issue may not be the number of states he won, but will people unite and support him? Ted will need to pick up moderate voters in the general election. That may be hard based on his positions. However the Democrat’s have imperfect candidates too. Strong chance yet.

John Kasich
The Governor has the best political experience, very competent, negotiates across the aisle and hugely popular at home. My pick to support when the stage was still very crowded. Most years the more moderate candidate wins. John is the adult in the room who looks presidential.
This year his campaign has only won his home state. His message is not getting through the media noise of the other campaigns. Afraid he is currently the long shot to get a nomination from a stuck convention.
The best description I read was Governor Kasich was everyone’s favorite vice president candidate. Think that underestimates his abilities.


These are the 5 candidates still in the running. No one is a lock for their own party, much the general election. The next 2-3 months will sort out the election, but so much can happen in such a short time that picking a winner is near impossible. Take your pick. I don’t have a clue who will win.

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